SI
Stereotaxis, Inc. (STXS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $6.34M, up 39% year-over-year (Q4 2023: $4.57M), with system revenue of $1.39M and recurring revenue of $4.95M; gross margin was approximately 51% and EPS was $-0.09 .
- Positive free cash flow of $1.3M in Q4 and year-end cash of $12.4M with no debt; system backlog entering 2025 was $15.2M, supporting visibility into near-term capital revenue .
- 2025 outlook: double-digit revenue growth; recurring revenue expected to scale from $5M in Q1 to $7M in Q4; system revenue guided to $2–$3M per quarter, with modest contributions from GenesisX (EU) and Genesis (China) .
- Strategic catalysts: CE Mark approval of MAGiC ablation catheter in Europe, first GenesisX order, China approvals (Genesis robot and Magbot), and FDA submissions for MAGiC Sweep high-density mapping and EMAGIN 5F vascular guidance catheters, setting up broader adoption and potential “breakout growth” in 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We have started a milestone rich year… strategic transformation into a company with an easily adopted robot that can navigate a proprietary set of catheters in EP and broadly across endovascular procedures.” – CEO David Fischel .
- CE Mark for MAGiC ablation catheter in Europe and first GenesisX order; regulatory submissions for MAGiC Sweep and EMAGIN 5F broaden the catheter ecosystem and endovascular reach .
- Positive Q4 free cash flow ($1.3M), year-end cash $12.4M, no debt; recurring revenue benefits from APT integration, and backlog of $15.2M supports capital revenue .
What Went Wrong
- Operating loss widened YoY in Q4 ($7.63M vs. $5.30M); adjusted operating loss also increased ($4.0M vs. $2.7M), reflecting non-cash stock comp and earnout mark-to-market .
- Recurring margins temporarily depressed by acquisition-related accounting (minimal margin on acquired inventory), and system margins pressured by fixed overhead over low production volumes .
- Near-term China commercialization visibility is limited amid macro and anti-corruption headwinds, prompting conservative system revenue guidance despite approvals and a pipeline of engaged hospitals .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L and Key Metrics
Q4 YoY Comparison
Segment Breakdown (Systems vs. Recurring)
KPIs and Margins
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “These innovations will increasingly contribute to commercial growth… The impact from new innovations will be modest initially but increasingly provide the opportunity for breakout growth.” – CEO .
- “Recurring revenue should steadily grow… $5 million in the first quarter growing… to $7 million in the fourth quarter… system revenue in any given quarter of $2 million to $3 million.” – CEO .
- “Gross margin… 51%… Recurring margins remain negatively impacted by the accounting related to the acquisition of APT… We expect to work through this inventory by the middle of this year.” – CFO .
- “We are setting the stage for a successful full launch of GenesisX in both Europe and the U.S. in the second half of this year.” – CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- MAGiC (US) approval path: Ongoing PMA review with patient enrollment in Europe; collaborative FDA dialogue; potential manufacturing audit; second-half approval viewed as reasonable .
- System revenue guidance conservatism: Volatility in recognition; backlog conversion visibility; China sales uncertain amid macro; prefer to beat rather than over-guide .
- GenesisX US timing: Responding imminently to FDA questions; expect robot approval ahead of compatible catheters (MAGiC, MAGiC Sweep, or MAGiC 5F) with Q3 approvals enabling launch .
- EMAGIN monetization/priorities: Low near-term revenue assumed; strategic value in enabling multi-specialty platform; focus on early procedures in stroke, RDN, complex PCI, oncology .
- MAGiC manufacturing ramp: Administrative onboarding at EU hospitals plus manufacturing scale-up; initial sales in March, tenders may elongate timelines in some countries .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to S&P Global request-limit constraints; as a result, comparisons vs. consensus could not be provided [Values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
- Given management’s 2025 framework (recurring $5M→$7M; systems $2–$3M/quarter), we expect models to shift mix toward disposables, improving gross margin as APT accounting effects roll off by mid-2025 .
Financial Results vs. Consensus (Q4 2024)
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift: Recurring revenue is set to step up sequentially through 2025 as MAGiC (EU) ramps and MAGiC Sweep approvals approach; disposable margin normalization expected after APT accounting clears by midyear .
- Capital visibility: Backlog of $15.2M and guided $2–$3M quarterly system revenue provide baseline capital contribution; upside tied to GenesisX launch cadence (EU/US) and China conversion .
- Platform expansion: EMAGIN 5F opens large endovascular indications (neuro, interventional cardiology, IR), potentially broadening hospital ROI and multi-specialty adoption over time .
- 2025 catalysts: EU MAGiC sales, MAGiC Sweep and EMAGIN approvals (target Q3), GenesisX first clinical use (summer EU) and H2 launches; digital platform unveil and initial ~$1M revenue contribution .
- Margin trajectory: Near-term gross margin pressured by system mix and APT accounting, but should improve as disposables ramp and fixed overhead dilutes over higher production volumes .
- Cash discipline: Positive Q4 FCF and guided lower cash use in 2025 reduce financing risk while supporting commercialization milestones; year-end cash $12.4M, no debt .
- Modeling implications: Consider rebalancing revenue mix toward disposables, embedding conservative China contributions and staged GenesisX adoption; monitor EU hospital onboarding pace and regulatory outcomes to adjust near-term estimates .